4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 5-6
Areté vs Lloreda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
50.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Areté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
ART
3 - 1
YTB
79%
12%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SPG
3 - 9
ART
56%
18%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ART
3 - 2
GRA
40%
20%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ART
3 - 5
POB
55%
19%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MON
2 - 4
ART
42%
21%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Lloreda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
LLO
3 - 0
PPX
89%
8%
4%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
YTB
0 - 8
LLO
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LLO
4 - 0
SPG
67%
16%
17%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GRA
2 - 2
LLO
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
POB
2 - 5
LLO
27%
21%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |