4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 4-6
Arenys de Munt A vs Cabrils C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
39%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenys de Munt A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
CMA
1 - 4
ARE
66%
17%
17%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 3
CMA
28%
19%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VBM
1 - 4
ARE
46%
20%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ARE
0 - 2
PDB
29%
21%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AJU
2 - 1
ARE
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cabrils C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAB
57%
19%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 1
CAN
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAB
4 - 2
SUF
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAB
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 0
CVM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |