Arenteiro vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
42.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
RCF
0 - 1
ARE
73%
19%
9%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ARE
1 - 1
BOI
51%
28%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CEL
0 - 1
ARE
41%
30%
29%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ARE
1 - 1
COX
45%
28%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
GRA
2 - 2
ARE
69%
21%
11%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
LUG
1 - 0
FLA
85%
12%
3%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 0
LUG
23%
31%
46%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
LUG
3 - 1
ASP
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
POR
0 - 1
LUG
31%
30%
39%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
LUG
3 - 1
MAR
79%
16%
6%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |