Arenteiro vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 5
ARE
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARE
1 - 0
PON
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CUL
3 - 2
ARE
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
ARE
20%
24%
57%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ARE
4 - 1
PON
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CUL
1 - 0
CHO
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CHO
3 - 0
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CAS
3 - 0
CHO
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 1
RIB
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |