Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 1-3
Arenas de Getxo vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 4
ARE
62%
23%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 0
GIM
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ARE
4 - 0
JER
39%
27%
35%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
JER
0 - 0
ARE
56%
26%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
OIA
1 - 0
ARE
32%
29%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
CEA
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 3
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ZAR
3 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
ZAR
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
TRJ
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |