Arenas de Armilla vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MMA
0 - 0
ARE
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ARE
2 - 1
ANT
61%
22%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LOJ
1 - 0
ARE
19%
26%
55%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ARE
4 - 0
GRA
28%
28%
45%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +5 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ARE
3 - 0
MAN
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ANT
0 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
MAN
3 - 0
GRA
22%
25%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +6 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 2
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
AND
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ARE
3 - 0
MAN
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |