Ards FC vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
ARD
2 - 2
CLI
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ARD
1 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARD
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
CLI
0 - 4
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
POR
4 - 3
BAN
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
CRU
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
GLE
7 - 0
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1996 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |