Ards FC vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 3
ARD
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
ARD
39%
25%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DON
1 - 2
ARD
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 6
BAL
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 3
BAN
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LIS
1 - 1
LOU
43%
24%
32%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
PSN
3 - 1
LIS
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 6
HAR
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |