Ards FC vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
3 - 5
LAR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DER
0 - 3
ARD
29%
23%
49%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 3
ARD
45%
23%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 3
AUN
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 3
INS
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 2
BAL
15%
20%
65%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
KNO
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 3
DUN
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 5
BAN
12%
20%
68%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
KNO
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |