Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 1
HAR
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 2
ARD
61%
20%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARC
4 - 1
ARD
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 4
BAN
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
INS
4 - 0
NEY
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
INS
1 - 3
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 1
INS
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 1
INS
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |