Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 5
ARD
28%
22%
50%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 2
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
ARD
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARD
4 - 2
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
INS
64%
19%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |