Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
ARD
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
ARD
57%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAR
4 - 0
ARD
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARD
5 - 2
KNO
70%
17%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 0
ARD
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
INS
3 - 2
QUB
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 3
INS
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
INS
5 - 1
AUN
16%
22%
61%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
INS
0 - 1
QUB
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |