Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 1
HAR
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARD
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 0
TOB
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DER
2 - 0
ARD
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 5
BAL
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
TOB
2 - 0
INS
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
INS
0 - 3
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
BAN
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 1
INS
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
INS
4 - 3
WAR
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |