Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
COA
0 - 1
ARD
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
ARD
2 - 1
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ARD
1 - 1
DUN
49%
22%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
MOY
0 - 2
ARD
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARD
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ARC
2 - 1
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
POR
1 - 3
INS
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
TOB
2 - 3
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
INS
2 - 0
MOY
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |