Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GLE
2 - 1
ARD
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ARD
2 - 1
LOU
54%
22%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 1
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 0
ARD
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 7
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
INS
2 - 9
LIN
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
5 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 2
INS
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GLE
3 - 2
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |