Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARD
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARD
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CRU
0 - 0
ARD
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
ARD
1 - 0
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ARD
0 - 0
CLI
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
INS
1 - 1
OMA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
POR
3 - 3
INS
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
LIN
7 - 0
INS
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
OMA
4 - 1
INS
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |