Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
OMA
0 - 1
ARD
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ARD
1 - 2
GLE
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
COL
2 - 0
ARD
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LIN
3 - 1
ARD
74%
17%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ARD
0 - 2
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
INS
3 - 3
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CLI
2 - 0
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
INS
3 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |