Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARD
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
LAR
0 - 3
ARD
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
ARD
2 - 0
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ARD
0 - 2
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
INS
3 - 3
ARC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
LIM
3 - 0
INS
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
INS
1 - 2
LIS
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |