Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 4
ARD
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 1
DON
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 2
LAR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 3
ARD
9%
16%
75%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 3
CLI
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
KNO
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 5
HAR
35%
25%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 2
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
LCE
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |