Ards FC vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LIN
5 - 1
ARD
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
3 - 3
ARD
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
ARD
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ARD
0 - 4
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 2
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GLE
2 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
POR
0 - 5
GLE
13%
17%
71%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
GLE
2 - 1
KNO
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
GLE
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |