Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 3
HAR
52%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 4
ARD
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 1
DON
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 2
LAR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 3
ARD
9%
16%
75%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
INS
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 2
DER
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
INS
0 - 0
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DER
0 - 1
ARC
40%
24%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |