Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 3
ARD
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 2
ARD
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 2
ARD
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 5
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
1 - 0
DER
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DER
4 - 1
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 2
DER
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |