Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 2
ARD
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 0
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TOB
1 - 4
ARD
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ARD
3 - 0
AUN
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
DER
2 - 0
HAR
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
DCC
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
DER
5 - 1
KNO
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
DER
2 - 6
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
DER
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |