Ards FC vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
POR
3 - 1
ARD
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
ARD
1 - 1
GLE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CLI
0 - 0
ARD
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAN
65%
20%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
LAR
0 - 1
ARD
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
SIF
4 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
SIF
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |