Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 2
ARD
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
ARD
2 - 1
ARC
51%
23%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
INS
0 - 2
ARD
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
ARD
1 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
ARD
0 - 2
LAR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
BAL
1 - 4
ARC
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 3
LIS
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
LIM
0 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
BAL
4 - 3
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIM
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |