Ardor Lazzate vs Vergiatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardor Lazzate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
ARD
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 1
LEG
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
ARD
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 0
ARD
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 0
ACC
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vergiatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
ARC
22%
22%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 1
VER
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VER
0 - 3
MAG
62%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIG
2 - 1
VER
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
VER
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |