Ardor Lazzate vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardor Lazzate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VER
0 - 4
ARD
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 6
VER
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 1
ARD
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 3
VAR
34%
23%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 2
ARC
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
3 - 2
MAG
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIG
3 - 0
MAG
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 60 | 42 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 4
VER
37%
23%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |