Ardennen vs Excelsior Mariakerke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ARD
8 - 1
DEN
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HOK
1 - 0
ARD
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARD
3 - 2
DEN
30%
22%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AAL
2 - 2
ARD
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 2
EEG
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 5
KSC
14%
17%
69%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
KSC
2 - 3
DRO
57%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
KSC
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
KSC
3 - 0
LDO
64%
18%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GBG
3 - 0
KSC
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |