Ardennen vs Excelsior Mariakerke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AAL
3 - 1
ARD
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EEG
0 - 1
ARD
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 3
EEN
33%
24%
44%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
JZU
0 - 1
ARD
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARD
1 - 1
HAA
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
KSC
2 - 3
BAM
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 4
APP
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
KRU
0 - 5
KSC
13%
17%
71%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
KSC
5 - 0
FCS
57%
19%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ADE
0 - 2
KSC
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |