Ardennen vs Excelsior Mariakerke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
AAL
1 - 1
ARD
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 2
BAM
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 2
EEN
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
3 - 1
ARD
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ARD
3 - 0
KFC
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
KSC
5 - 2
ADE
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NIN
0 - 0
KSC
71%
15%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
KSC
3 - 1
SOT
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
AAL
0 - 2
KSC
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
KSC
0 - 3
BAM
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |