Ardennen vs Denderleeuw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 1
ARD
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 1
SKM
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KSK
2 - 1
ARD
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 79 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 2
BER
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DEN
3 - 1
ARD
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Denderleeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
DEN
4 - 2
ZER
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 22 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 0
DEN
17%
21%
62%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 2
HAA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 2
DEN
10%
18%
72%
|
61 | 21 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LDO
3 - 2
DEN
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |