Ardales Atletico vs CD Tolox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardales Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 4
ARD
48%
21%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 2
CDC
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 4
ARD
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
3 - 0
AES
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ALO
1 - 4
ARD
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 3
ATO
34%
21%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
TOL
41%
21%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 2
OLI
29%
19%
52%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SRM
6 - 1
TOL
31%
21%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
TOL
59%
18%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |