Ardagger vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
11º
1º
31
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVG
0 - 3
ARD
79%
16%
6%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
SCU
72%
18%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARD
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WAI
1 - 2
ARD
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 3
ARD
21%
22%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STP
4 - 0
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
STP
3 - 2
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 4
STP
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
KOT
3 - 2
STP
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |