Ardagger vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
WAI
0 - 0
ARD
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 4
AMS
6%
14%
80%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
ZWE
2 - 0
ARD
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 1
KRE
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
ARD
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SPR
2 - 3
SKS
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPR
1 - 1
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
KRE
2 - 2
SPR
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ROH
4 - 1
SPR
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SPR
0 - 1
ASV
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |