Ardagger vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SVH
1 - 0
ARD
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 1
STP
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SVS
2 - 0
ARD
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 1
ARD
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 3
WAI
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPR
1 - 1
ROH
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
KRE
4 - 1
SPR
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPR
0 - 0
GAF
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SCR
2 - 0
SPR
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SPR
0 - 0
SVR
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |