Ardagger vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GAF
1 - 0
ARD
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 4
WAI
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
4 - 2
ARD
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 2
LEO
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
KOT
3 - 0
ARD
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SPR
1 - 0
SCH
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPR
2 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 0
SPR
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPR
1 - 2
WAI
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
WUR
3 - 2
SPR
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |