Ardagger vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
9º
13º
10º
69
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MKO
3 - 2
ARD
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
4 - 0
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
ARD
28%
25%
48%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
4 - 0
SCO
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 0
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 3
SCR
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 0
STP
63%
19%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 2
SCR
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCR
2 - 1
SCU
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SCR
6 - 0
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +3 |