Ardagger vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
11º
1º
36
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARD
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
KOT
3 - 0
ARD
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 0
SPR
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
STP
0 - 0
ARD
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 1
LAN
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
STP
54%
21%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 2
WAI
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 1
ASV
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SVH
0 - 2
SCR
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 0
SCO
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |