Ardagger vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
SVR
2 - 2
ARD
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ARD
1 - 3
SPR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
WAI
0 - 0
ARD
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 4
AMS
6%
14%
80%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
ZWE
2 - 0
ARD
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
SCO
2 - 0
ZWE
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
WAI
0 - 2
SCO
49%
21%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 1
SCO
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
SCO
7 - 4
BFB
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 0
SCO
75%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |