Ardagger vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2009 |
ARD
1 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SVH
0 - 1
ARD
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ARD
0 - 3
SCR
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GOT
0 - 0
ARD
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
GAF
3 - 1
ARD
51%
24%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 1
VOS
17%
23%
60%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 1
SCO
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 5
SOL
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
SCO
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 1
SCO
75%
16%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |