Ardagger vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 0
ARD
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 3
SPR
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GAF
1 - 0
ARD
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 4
WAI
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
4 - 2
ARD
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
STP
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 6
SVH
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 3
MAN
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
STP
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPR
2 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -2 |