Ardagger vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
WAI
1 - 1
ARD
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 3
LEO
13%
19%
67%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 1
ARD
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ARD
2 - 1
STP
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
OPI
1 - 5
ARD
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
ZWE
47%
23%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
FCM
5 - 0
GAF
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
SVH
72%
16%
13%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
GAF
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
3 - 2
WUR
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |