Ardagger vs Bruck/Leitha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
68.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
ARD
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 4
ZWE
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ROH
2 - 0
ARD
12%
17%
72%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 4
SVS
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
ARD
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bruck/Leitha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
5 - 0
WAI
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SVH
3 - 1
LEI
23%
21%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 0
KOT
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SCR
2 - 5
LEI
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 0
LEO
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |