Arda Kardzhali vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ARK
0 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
ARK
0 - 3
CSK
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARK
1 - 0
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 0
ARK
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ARK
0 - 0
LSO
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
DOB
0 - 1
LOV
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 0
SEP
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 0
DUN
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOV
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 0
CVA
13%
22%
66%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +2 |