Arda Kardzhali vs Tsarsko Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DOB
0 - 2
ARK
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ARK
0 - 1
LOK
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ARK
0 - 1
LUD
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
ARK
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARK
0 - 1
CVA
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FCT
4 - 1
POM
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
CSK
1 - 1
FCT
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DOB
0 - 2
FCT
23%
27%
51%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
FCT
6%
11%
84%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
4 - 0
LUD
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |