Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
14º
7º
1
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
3 | 21 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 20 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 18 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 18 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 18 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 16 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 15 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 14 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 13 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 13 |
11º
|
3.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 13 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 12 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 12 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 11 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
20.5% | 41% |
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ARK
0 - 0
HJK
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 0
ARK
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
ARK
1 - 2
BEI
38%
23%
39%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
ARK
1 - 2
SEP
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
LPL
2 - 2
ARK
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSK
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CSK
3 - 1
RAD
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
OLI
3 - 0
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 1
HKS
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 0
HKR
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |