Arcozelo vs Crestuma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcozelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PED
2 - 1
ARC
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 2
SSV
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 0
ARC
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 1
AVI
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PER
2 - 0
ARC
17%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crestuma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 1
CAN
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 1
SHO
88%
9%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CMA
0 - 1
CRE
43%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CRE
4 - 4
OSL
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |