Arcos CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
ARC
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 0
LEB
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARC
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SRO
2 - 0
ARC
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEB
1 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 2
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 3
SRO
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
CEU
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |