Arcos CF vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
VVA
3 - 1
ARC
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ARC
0 - 2
MAI
47%
27%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
DHE
3 - 0
ARC
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
JER
3 - 1
ARC
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
SFE
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SFE
1 - 0
VVA
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
MAI
1 - 3
SFE
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SFE
4 - 2
DHE
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
SFE
35%
27%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |