Arcos CF vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SRQ
1 - 0
ARC
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 0
SEV
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CDA
3 - 2
ARC
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 1
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CIS
1 - 0
ARC
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 0
CDL
31%
26%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 1
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CEU
1 - 0
CDL
52%
26%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
CDL
1 - 0
BET
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CRD
1 - 3
CDL
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |